> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://arcstar.gitbook.io/arcstar-dao/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://arcstar.gitbook.io/arcstar-dao/tournament/scoring.md).

# Scoring

### Spearman correlation score

<figure><img src="https://738702847-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FH0xkh40zT3W8ZE12SdXS%2Fuploads%2F33PTakHmhDzNJzC0v6dF%2FArcstar%201.png?alt=media&amp;token=c9e3809c-2b10-4448-b251-ebb9a3dec27b" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

Once you have submitted, your prediction will be confronted to what is happening on the market. It will be scored daily using the spearman rank metric.&#x20;

### Post processing ranking (scaled leaderboard)

<figure><img src="https://738702847-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FH0xkh40zT3W8ZE12SdXS%2Fuploads%2Fc0rHAYOF5P0n8yfTdifs%2FPost%20processing%20ranking.png?alt=media&amp;token=7b9d4d3c-bce1-4cd9-875f-c94e6068391c" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

* The last two rounds on each dataset are taken into account
* Non-submissions in any round get a score of -5. (Incentivises long-term participation.)
* Scores are normalized (between range \[-1,1]) per round.
* Users scoring above the 90th percentile get the same score of +1. (This is to disincentivize overfit models as anyone above a threshold gets the same score).
* Finally, the scores for all rounds are averaged.
